S&P 500 Dashboard

Market Signals

Shiller CAPEOvervalued

34.2

Cyclically Adjusted P/E (10-yr avg earnings). Readings above 30 signal significant overvaluation relative to historical mean of ~16.

VIX IndexNormal

18.4

Market implied 30-day volatility. Below 20 indicates complacency; above 30 signals elevated fear and potential buying opportunity.

Fear & GreedFear

CNN Fear & Greed composite index (0–100). Current reading of 42 signals cautious sentiment — historically a contrarian buy zone.

Buffett IndicatorOvervalued

182%

Total market cap / GDP ratio. Readings above 150% indicate the market is significantly overvalued relative to economic output.

Forward P/E (Top 20)Overvalued

48.6x

Weighted average P/E ratio of the top 20 S&P 500 holdings. Calculated from live batch quotes from be-nest API.

Yield SpreadCaution

-0.42%

10Y Treasury (4.28%) minus S&P 500 earnings yield (~3.86%). Negative spread suggests bonds are more attractive than equities.

5,630.23+816.90 (+16.97%)

Monthly Investment

Investment Horizon10 yrs

1yr40yrs

Expected Annual Return

Initial Investment

Inflation AdjustmentSubtract 3% annual inflation (real returns)

Portfolio Value After 10yrs

$102,422

Total Invested$60,000

Total Gain$42,422

Total Return+70.7%

Return Rate (annual)10% nominal

Invested capitalGains

59%41%

* Compound interest calculated monthly. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Ticker	Price	Change %	P/E	Signal	Company
MA	491.08	+1.93%	28.4	Hold	Mastercard Incorporated
V	323.57	+1.06%	28.3	Hold	Visa Inc.
WMT	118.88	+0.97%	41.9	Hold	Walmart Inc.
NFLX	82.18	+0.76%	26.5	Hold	Netflix, Inc.
UNH	399.47	+0.76%	30.1	Hold	UnitedHealth Group Incorporated
LLY	1,131.42	+0.55%	40.2	Hold	Eli Lilly and Company
JPM	312.37	+0.48%	14.9	Buy	JPMorgan Chase & Co.
COST	971.87	-0.05%	49.0	Hold	Costco Wholesale Corporation
GOOG	365.76	-0.95%	27.9	Hold	Alphabet Inc.
GOOGL	368.53	-0.98%	28.1	Hold	Alphabet Inc.
AAPL	307.34	-1.25%	37.1	Hold	Apple Inc.
XOM	149.92	-1.39%	25.2	Hold	Exxon Mobil Corporation
MSFT	416.67	-2.66%	24.8	Watch	Microsoft Corporation
AMZN	246.03	-3.06%	31.1	Watch	Amazon.com, Inc.
META	593.00	-5.51%	21.6	Watch	Meta Platforms, Inc.
NVDA	205.10	-6.20%	31.4	Watch	NVIDIA Corporation
TSLA	391.00	-6.56%	216.0	Watch	Tesla, Inc.
AVGO	385.73	-7.92%	64.1	Watch	Broadcom Inc.
AMD	466.38	-10.86%	156.5	Watch	Advanced Micro Devices, Inc.

19 of 19 holdingsSignal: Buy (>+2% or P/E <15) · Watch (<-2%)